geekchick: (weather)
[personal profile] geekchick
Dr. Jeff Masters on Gustav:

NHC is forecasting that Gustav's current diameter of tropical storm force (about 320 miles across) will grow to about 350 miles across at landfall in Louisiana. This is about 80% as wide as the 440 mile-wide region of tropical storm force winds Hurricane Katrina had at landfall (5 am August 29, 2005).

A wind field of this size in a Category 4 hurricane traveling NW over the Gulf of Mexico is capable of carrying a 13-15 foot high storm tide to the coast in central Louisiana. NNW-moving storms bring the highest surge to this region of coast. Storm tide is the storm surge, adjusted upwards by 2 feet in case the storm hits at high tide.

Time to leave New Orleans
It should go without saying that it's time to leave New Orleans. But, I'll say it anyway: It's Time to Leave New Orleans! The risk of staying in New Orleans is unacceptable. This is a huge and dangerous storm that has already killed a lot of people. The projected track and strength of Gustav is very close to that of Hurricane Betsy of 1965, the Category 3 hurricane that overwhelmed New Orleans' levees, and killed 76 people. Get out now.

Date: 2008-08-31 04:29 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] argh-jim.livejournal.com
My FIL is in Lake Charles, and he said that he's hoping it hits here, because he's never been in one and wants to take pictures.

*sigh*

Date: 2008-08-31 04:35 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rdhdsnippet.livejournal.com
My brother is in Slidell and is being similarly stupid stubborn. My comfort and good thoughts to you and your family, too.

Date: 2008-09-01 12:39 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] penguinet.livejournal.com
I saw the eye of Andrew and although it was something I'll always remember, I wouldn't do it again. I remember my whole family huddled in the house and suddenly everything was silent. We went outside to look and it was a wall of grey. The air was so heavy and uncomfortable and everything was so still. I hope our families are OK.

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